EUR/GBP near highest level since September, just below 0.8900 above BoE/ECB

Published On: February 2, 2023
  • EUR/GBP scales higher for the fourth straight day and touches a fresh multi-month top.

  • Expectations of additional jumbo rate hikes by the ECB continue to underpin the euro.

  • Speculations that the BoE is nearing the end of the rate-hiking cycle weigh on the GBP.

  • Traders now seem reluctant as the focus shifts to the BoE and the ECB policy decisions.

The EUR/GBP cross gains traction for the fourth successive day and climbs to the 0.8900 neighborhood or its highest level since late September on Thursday.

The shared currency continues to draw support from expectations for additional jumbo rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB) in the coming months. The bets were reaffirmed by the recent hawkish commentary by several ECB officials, which, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the EUR/GBP cross. The British Pound’s relative underperformance could further be attributed to speculations that the Bank of England (BoE) is nearing the end of the current rate-hiking cycle.

That said, the prevailing US dollar selling bias gives some support to the sterling pound. Moreover, signs of inflationary pressures in the Eurozone have forced investors to scale back expectations for more aggressive policy tightening by the ECB. This, along with central bank reluctance ahead of major event risks, puts a lid on further gains for the EUR/GBP cross. It takes some precautions before positioning for the extension of the moving move-up.

Both the BoE and the ECB are scheduled to announce their policy decisions during the mid-European session this Thursday. The market focus, however, will be on clues about the future rate hike path, which will determine the next leg of a directional move for the EUR/GBP cross. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop favours bullish traders, though a sustained move beyond the 0.8900 round-figure mark is needed to support prospects for a further near-term appreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP table

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